Study Projects 39% Rise in Cervical Cancer Deaths Worldwide by 2050
Research in Nature Medicine analyzed 204 countries; for Brazil, the estimate points to 26,500 cases and 10,900 deaths in 2023.
Translated from the Portuguese original by the Panorama newsroom. Read in Portuguese
Summary written by the Panorama newsroom from the sources listed below. Facts are attributed to the original publications.
Cervical cancer deaths could grow 39.3% worldwide by 2050, reaching about 522,000 a year. New cases are expected to rise 20.2% and exceed 1 million annually, according to a study published Monday (2) in the journal Nature Medicine, reported by g1.
The research analyzed data from 204 countries and territories, including Brazil. The authors stress that, despite being one of the most preventable cancers, the disease is expected to keep killing hundreds of thousands of women, especially in low-income countries, where access to the HPV vaccine, screening and treatment is harder.
For Brazil, the researchers estimated 26,500 new cases and 10,900 deaths in 2023. g1 notes that the numbers come from international models and differ from official Brazilian estimates, which use a different methodology.
If current trends continue, none of the seven major world regions analyzed is expected to reach, by 2050, the World Health Organization's elimination target, which is fewer than four new cases per 100,000 women per year.
The study was led by Natalie Pritchett and Lisa Force, of the University of Washington in the United States, based on the Global Burden of Disease project.